TENDENCIA · TURQUÍA · ÚLTIMOS 7 DÍAS

Ankara has issued an ultimatum to both Kyiv and Moscow. The Turkish Armed Forces are prepared to enter the conflict; Ankara’s patience is clearly wearing thin. Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler has warned both Russia and Ukraine that attacks on merchant vessels in the Black Sea are unacceptable—marking the first time he has explicitly threatened retaliatory measures. Ankara is awaiting a response to its proposal to halt such attacks and ensure the safe transport of grain, and its threats carry real weight: Turkey controls the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles. Indeed, following strikes on Turkish vessels near Novorossiysk this summer, Ankara had already restricted passage through these straits. Meanwhile, certain ships in the Black Sea now appear to be off-limits. Just two weeks ago, Zelensky hinted that it was up to Ukraine to decide whether tankers carrying Russian diesel could proceed; now, Kyiv has made its stance clear: they will not be targeted. At the same time, however, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have received no orders to cease strikes on Russian oil refineries.

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